{"verdicts": [{"ts": "2026-06-28T18:31:17.670302+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3682, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section VII contains 4 formal predictions. Three (PRED-1, PRED-2, PRED-4) pass all 4 DEF01 criteria. PRED-3 fails the binary criterion due to a conjunctive structure that embeds a loosely-causal compo", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-06-28T18:31:17.819998+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:36:30.734151+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3681, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section VII (§FORMAL PREDICTIONS) is present and contains 4 predictions. Three pass all 4 DEF01 criteria (PRED-1 REE Chokepoint, PRED-2 NATO Iran Fracture, PRED-4 Spain Bilateral Pact), meeting the ≥2", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:36:30.849151+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:39:48.312311+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "block", "cost_usd": 0.3437, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "FAIL-ZERO-PASSING: Only 1 of 4 formal predictions passes all DEF01 criteria (PRED-1, REE Chokepoint). PRED-2 fails temporal (no explicit date anchor, compound conditionality). PRED-3 fails binary (causal conjunction bet", "confidence": 0.88, "n_predictions_found": 4, "n_passing_all_4": 1}], "warnings": [], "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:39:48.484805+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": "l3", "l3_verdict": "block", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "forced", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:44:32.241312+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3407, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: All 4 formal predictions in §Section VII pass all DEF01 criteria. Each is binary (discrete thresholds), temporal (specific deadlines by Oct 2027, May 2027, Q4 2026, May 2028), observable (public offic", "confidence": 0.88}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:44:32.367020+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:47:38.467185+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3486, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Two of four formal predictions (PRED-1 REE Chokepoint and PRED-2 NATO Cohesion Iran) pass all 4 DEF01 criteria: both are binary, temporally anchored (October 2027 and May 2027 respectively), observabl", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T18:47:38.560945+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T19:09:01.869282+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "block", "cost_usd": 0.3664, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "FAIL-ZERO-PASSING: Only 1 of 4 formal predictions (PRED-1, REE Chokepoint) passes all 4 DEF01 criteria. PRED-2 (NATO/Iran) and PRED-4 (Spain pivot) fail the temporal criterion due to relative timeframes without explicit", "confidence": 0.91, "n_predictions_found": 4, "n_passing_all_4": 1}], "warnings": [], "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-05T19:09:02.072509+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": "l3", "l3_verdict": "block", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "forced", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:33:35.453605+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.376, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section §FORMAL PREDICTIONS found with 4 explicit predictions. Predictions 1 (REE Chokepoint, 65%) and 2 (NATO Cohesion Iran Round 2, 55%) pass all 4 DEF01 criteria with specific dates, binary outcome", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:33:35.995879+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:50:55.528014+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3675, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: All 4 formal predictions pass all DEF01 criteria (binary, temporal, observable, actionable). Predictions 1–3 are well-formed with appropriate probabilities (65%, 55%, 70%). Prediction 4 passes structu", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:50:55.694088+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:56:27.432858+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "block", "cost_usd": 0.3726, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "FAIL-ZERO-PASSING: Only 1 of 4 formal predictions (PRED-1-REE-Chokepoint) passes all 4 DEF01 criteria. The minimum threshold for PASS is ≥2 predictions with 4/4. Predictions 2 and 4 fail TEMPORAL (no explicit calendar d", "confidence": 0.87, "n_predictions_found": 4, "n_passing_all_4": 1}], "warnings": [], "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:56:27.878960+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": "l3", "l3_verdict": "block", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "forced", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:59:59.812244+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.347, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section VII contains 4 formal predictions. Three (Pred-1 REE, Pred-2 NATO Iran, Pred-3 Ammo Emergency) pass all 4 DEF01 criteria with adequate binary thresholds, explicit temporal bounds, publicly ver", "confidence": 0.88}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T17:59:59.980959+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T18:38:03.714569+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3668, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: All 4 formal predictions in §SECTION VII pass all 4 DEF01 criteria: binary outcomes with specific thresholds, explicit temporal deadlines (Q4 2026 to 24 months), observable via named public sources (E", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T18:38:04.158669+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T18:41:59.762715+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3447, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section VII (FORMAL PREDICTIONS) is present and contains 4 predictions. Three pass all 4 DEF01 criteria (PRED-1 REE Chokepoint, PRED-2 NATO Cohesion, PRED-4 Spain Pivot), meeting the ≥2 threshold for ", "confidence": 0.88}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T18:41:59.892199+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T19:05:04.173435+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3758, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section VII contains 4 formal predictions. Three pass all 4 DEF01 criteria: PRED-1 (REE Chokepoint, conditional but all criteria met with minor ambiguity on trigger resolution), PRED-2 (NATO Cohesion,", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T19:05:04.403409+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T20:58:30.545773+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.373, "cached_read_tokens": 0, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section §FORMAL PREDICTIONS exists and contains 4 predictions. Three pass all 4 DEF01 criteria (PRED-1 REE Chokepoint, PRED-2 NATO Cohesion Iran Round 2, PRED-4 Spain Pivot), exceeding the ≥2 threshol", "confidence": 0.87}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T20:58:30.749939+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T21:01:52.517260+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "l3", "model": "g1+g3+g11+g13 (claude-sonnet-4-6)", "aggregate_verdict": "warn", "cost_usd": 0.3416, "cached_read_tokens": 7378, "blockers": [], "warnings": [{"gate": "G11", "claim": "[predictions falsifiability]", "reason": "PASS: Section §VII contains 4 formal predictions. Three pass all 4 DEF01 criteria (PRED-1 REE Chokepoint, PRED-2 NATO Iran Fracture, PRED-4 Spain Bilateral Pact), exceeding the ≥2 threshold for PASS. PRED-3", "confidence": 0.88}], "force_override": false}, {"ts": "2026-07-07T21:01:52.723690+00:00", "brief_id": "SD_20260501_1416_European_Defense.html", "layer": "summary", "failed_layer": null, "l3_verdict": "warn", "l4_active": false, "l4_verdict": null, "er_active": false, "er_verdict": null, "outcome": "promoted", "force_override": true, "force_override_reason": {"reason": "test fixture: force_companion_drift bypass path, not a real promote decision", "category": "other", "overrides": []}}], "count": 30, "total_in_ledger": 799, "source": "data/judge_verdicts.jsonl"}